2025年事实上已经是保单大重写之年;而从2026年开始,企业会逐步发现,自己买到的不是一张覆盖一切的AI风险保单,而是一张更窄、更贵、且附带更多前置条件的可承保风险。本文关心的不是保险公司如何用AI提效,而是反过来,AI如何重写保险的经营范式。风险从可分散变成同源聚合,黑箱把成本先推到辩护费用,责任链条在供应链里漂移。保险会从概率生意走向治理生意,定价权会从精算迁移到审计与红队证据链。
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NASA leaders argued that it makes more sense to uncover problems and practice operations close to home, in Earth orbit, rather than discovering them for the first time while attempting a landing on the moon. If the faster launch tempo holds, Artemis IV and Artemis V together could give NASA two opportunities in 2028. Officials stressed that the timeline still depends on hardware readiness and safety reviews.
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